Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.The REIT of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics will be put on sale to public investors today. According to the announcement issued by AVIC Fund, on December 13th, the closed infrastructure securities investment fund of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics (hereinafter referred to as "AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics REIT", fund code: 508078) will be put on sale to public investors. The fundraising period will be from December 13th to 19th, and it will be issued for 5 working days.
India's NIFTY index metal plate fell by 1.3%.Brazilian President Lula's intracranial drainage tube has been removed and recovered well. On December 12, local time, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil issued a medical announcement, saying that the intracranial drainage tube placed after President Lula's surgery had been removed that evening. At present, Lula is conscious and thinking normally, and is still in intensive care in the hospital. According to the announcement, Lula's nervous system is normal and there are no complications, and there will be no sequelae in the future. At present, he is recovering well and can eat and talk normally. The hospital advised him to continue to rest.Wanwuyun: Signing a new framework agreement with Vanke, with the term ending at the end of 2027. On December 13th, Wanwu cloud hosting Science and Technology Service Co., Ltd. (02602.HK) issued an announcement. In view of the fact that the existing framework agreement will expire on December 31st, 2024 and the company intends to continue to sign similar transactions thereafter, the board of directors announced that Wanwuyun signed a new framework agreement with Vanke on December 12th, 2024, including a framework agreement on the use and maintenance of new technology systems. New property leasing Framework Agreement; New AIoT and BPaaS solution service framework agreement; New property service framework agreement; New value-added service framework agreement; And the new property agency service framework agreement, valid from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2027. As of the date of announcement, Vanke Company accounts for 56.84% of the issued share capital of Wanwuyun and is the controlling shareholder. At the same time, the announcement shows that the extraordinary general meeting of shareholders will be held on December 31, 2024 to review and approve related transactions and annual caps. In addition, Wanwuyun announced that its registered address in China has been changed to Room 2201, Building B, Chuangzhiyun Center, No.1 Guangsha Road, Futian District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province.
Hezhou, Guangxi: It is planned to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans such as newly-built single-family commercial houses and townhouses. The Hezhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued an announcement on publicly soliciting opinions on the Notice on Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund in this Municipality (draft for comments). The document also requires that the proportion and number of housing provident fund loans be optimized. The minimum down payment ratio for the first and second sets of housing provident fund loans is not less than 20%. The number of housing units applying for housing provident fund loans is determined according to the number of housing units of the applicant's family in the place of purchase (Babu District, Pinggui District, Zhongshan County, fuchuan county and Zhaoping County). Increase efforts to support the purchase of houses in different places and withdraw housing provident fund. Cancel the restrictions on the residence registration and work place for purchasing houses in different places. If the depositor of the housing provident fund in this city purchases self-occupied houses in different places, and the purchase time is within two years from the date of issuance of this notice, he may apply for the purchase of houses and withdraw the housing provident fund, and the total withdrawal amount shall not exceed the purchase price paid. If you have applied for a house purchase loan and repaid it for one year, you can apply for withdrawing the housing provident fund to repay the housing loan. The document also proposes to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans for newly-built single-family commercial houses, townhouses with low floors, townhouses with multi-floors and non-standard duplex houses.Hezhou, Guangxi: It is planned to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans such as newly-built single-family commercial houses and townhouses. The Hezhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued an announcement on publicly soliciting opinions on the Notice on Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund in this Municipality (draft for comments). The document also requires that the proportion and number of housing provident fund loans be optimized. The minimum down payment ratio for the first and second sets of housing provident fund loans is not less than 20%. The number of housing units applying for housing provident fund loans is determined according to the number of housing units of the applicant's family in the place of purchase (Babu District, Pinggui District, Zhongshan County, fuchuan county and Zhaoping County). Increase efforts to support the purchase of houses in different places and withdraw housing provident fund. Cancel the restrictions on the residence registration and work place for purchasing houses in different places. If the depositor of the housing provident fund in this city purchases self-occupied houses in different places, and the purchase time is within two years from the date of issuance of this notice, he may apply for the purchase of houses and withdraw the housing provident fund, and the total withdrawal amount shall not exceed the purchase price paid. If you have applied for a house purchase loan and repaid it for one year, you can apply for withdrawing the housing provident fund to repay the housing loan. The document also proposes to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans for newly-built single-family commercial houses, townhouses with low floors, townhouses with multi-floors and non-standard duplex houses.The space robot won the TGA annual game "Black Myth Wukong", the TGA award ceremony is in progress, and "Astro Bot" won the TGA annual game. Other nominated games include Black Myth: Wukong, Clown Card, Eldon Circle: The Shadow of Huang Jinshu, Final Fantasy 7: Rebirth, Metaphorical Fantasy: Refantazio. Cosmic Robot is a game work developed by Team ASOBI and released by Sony Interactive Entertainment. Players and ASTRO have launched a brand-new super-large adventure trip to explore more than 50 exciting and varied worlds. The release of the game coincides with the 30th anniversary of PlayStation game console, and a lot of tribute elements have been added to the game works, which has also become one of the reasons why the game attracts worldwide attention. (Sina Technology)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14